
Evergreen Solar
Evergreen Solar has been recieving more attention lately. Alternative energy stocks a commonly momentum plays. The cause?Natural gas prices are rising over $11, twice that of last fall.
XsunX
Many large buildings can benifit from solar power. A recent "gamble" or speculative stock is the penny stock XSNX.OB . They are making photovoltaic glass for large buildings. It's like siding a building with solar cells that you can look through.
It is important to remember that investing in solar power companies, that many large corporations have an advantage. BP Solar and Seimens have very large amounts of production capacity and more than enough free cash for R&D. Evergreen Solar's free cash ( - ) and R&D funding ($5 million) add to potential financing problems unless more stock is sold. ESLR looses nearly $16 MILLION A YEAR ON INCOME OF $30 MILLION and has a market cap of nearly $500 million. This suggests an over valued price. As I mentioned growth may not come if large corporations take advantage of their size and distribution resources ( other competitors include GE and Kyocera )
Capstone turbines and Beacon energy are both far below their recent price levels....I feel Evergreen may have a price below the current one in the near future. I hope that Solar power improves and permeates the market, but I don not expect small companies like evergreen to fully capitalize on the market potential. On that note, Hoku os still bafflingly high at $11 per share. I suspect Kramer coverage had a lot to do with the spec on this.



3 Comments:
Really nice blog. Keep it up.
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Do you think the CPUC will vote in favor of solar power tomorrow? If so what pure solar power play stocks will spike as a result? SPWR, DSTI, XSNX, and WWAT are three stocks that I will be watching.
Take a look at DSTI, forget ESLR
1. they produce silicon free solar panels,
they use a new technology called CIGS
(copper,indium,gallium,selenide)
that is much cheaper than silicon, the
company was started in 1997.
2. they don't have the issue of silicon
shortage.
3. they shipped products to Blitzstrom , a german
company based in Germany,
the world's leader country for solar
panels, and to the chinese company MEG too.
4. they hired many new workers and a new
vice president of manifacturing that leaved
the solar silicon competitor ESLR for DSTI.
5. Honda will start to produce soon CIGS solar
panels too.
6. They have a low float of 2.6 millions shares,
and 6.2 millions outstanding shares,that
predicts high volatility.
7. The CEO Tuttle sells every quarter a small
amount of shares in order to pay administrative
taxes and salaries, because the
company started to produce only
since a few months.
8. Solar energy is the only way to produce electricity
over the long term because fossil fuels are running
out, the dependance on oil is already causing
wars and terrorism.
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