Phillip carter shipyardphil organic alternative energy wind power solar stock investment chart snowboard surf green skate cramer X Investing: August 2005

Wednesday, August 31, 2005


FAT CAT



Caterpiller split in July and has continued to increase in price. Sure, they are expected to help in the tramatic rebuild from Katrina....but they also have my X approval by incorporating Fuel Cells into their growth plan.

Some interesting notes in their newsa is that one of their managers was appointed to the EPA.

They also issued $250 million in new debt....possible bond buy?

They have an enterprise value of $60.41 billion and a market cap of $37.5 billion. Seems like a good deal.

Tuesday, August 30, 2005

Real Investing



Hype...I've seen it before, but the recent activity in alternative energy is something the long term investor is best to avoid. If you like to gamble or follow the money, maybe you missed your chance.

Capstone has risen above $5 from $1 a couple of months ago. This company has almost no sales and as soon as sales pick up, I am sure GE will take over. Profits are what I invest in now, not dreams..unfortunately...

Evergreen Solar is another company I am worried about. Sure they have great new products and sales, but I doubt their patents will last until the market for solar energy expands. Their competitors include BP and Siemens....tuff stuff....

Short term, you can look at energy bills and horrific energy troubles to increase stock price....but if you look at the value of their future sales, it is unlikely their market cap justifies the price.

Smartmoney.com has a valuation tool to help you decide...

good luck alternative energy companies.....I can't throw money at short term trades right now....

Monday, August 29, 2005

Organic Grocery Stores Fight Back


I found a funny link from the folks at the Tradin Organic Company website

Organic Store Wars

Dow Jones has a sustainable Stoxx 's index...

AND Capstone Turbines (cpst) is on the rise! From $1 to over $4 and higher after in after market trading....

Sunday, August 28, 2005





Katrina







The hurricane is going to drive traders into a frenzy I'm sure. Insurance companies will loose, crops will get damaged, construction will slow and.....the oil refineries, offshore drilling, and shipping......

It's very well known about Louisiana's energy production and hurricane sensitivity. "Eighteen percent of U.S. oil production originates in, is transported through, or is processed in Louisiana coastal wetlands with a value of $6.3 billion a year. Almost 24 percent of U.S. natural gas production originates in or is processed in Louisiana's coastal wetlands with a value of $10.3 billion a year.As of October 1998, there were 3,439 platforms in the Gulf off Louisiana's coast." The government Energy Information Administration has some factoids..... Journalists have been pondering the effects of a hurricane like this for a while.



I filled up my tank today... I wish I didn't need gas, but tomorrow I am expecting another price jump.
$1.53 for the cheapestuff in NC

Viewpoint Biodiesel:
I am not a fan of biodiesel for everyone....I really don't want water problems to grow gas for cars. Crops are better for food.

Wednesday, August 24, 2005


BEER





There are not many public companies selling socially resposible beer

....what is that any way?

The Sierra Nevada Brewing Company is not public but has invested in fuel cells. That's the Govornator checking out Sierra Nevada's Fuel Cell from Fuel Cell Energy in the photo.

Many beer brewers out there use organic hops and barley.
I went to Mellow Mushroom Pizza and found Wolavers,a great oragnic beer...

Samuel Smith also makes a good pair of organic beers. They are a little pricey, but quality is job 1.


Co-op America
a list of organic brewers..some background and links for business to business....in case you need something to drink these hot days...

Cheers!

Tuesday, August 23, 2005


ECOTOURING



I'm thinking about investing in a nice eco tour....


My Usual eco tour is possibly seeing some dolphins out surfing Masonboro Island or the Outerbanks. My other favorite local eco tour is simply hiking the Appalachian Trail. Joyce Kilmore National Forest is a great spot west of Asheville.

Outside Magazine has a few other ideas for me...

I have also been thinking about taking a Volunteer eco trip. volunteering to help science sounds wild...EcoVolunteer also has some projects...

Top on my on "to do" list, which is growing, is to go to MAHO BAY in the Virgin Islands....

have fun!


BCON up 17% midday




check Hoovers Online


There are about 49 million shares. The price was around $4.82 midday.


Trading volume has gone from a three month average of 4 million, to nearly 15 million average for the past ten days.

This is from Beacon Power's web site:

Corporate Overview

Beacon Power Corporation designs sustainable energy storage and power conversion solutions that would provide reliable electric power for the utility, renewable energy, and distributed generation markets. Beacon’s new Smart Energy Matrix is a design concept for a megawatt-level, utility-grade flywheel-based energy storage solution that would provide sustainable power quality services for frequency regulation, and support the demand for reliable, distributed electrical power. Two prototype Smart Energy Matrix systems have been ordered by energy authorities in California and New York, in partnership with the U.S. Department of Energy. The goal of both projects is to demonstrate the performance of Beacon's flywheel energy storage technology in regulating grid frequencies, and to evaluate other potential advantages, such as clean operation, fast reponse time, and ease of use. Both systems will be installed and testing will begin in 2005.

Our mission is to become a leading supplier of advanced solutions that enhance electrical grid reliability and operation. We believe that in a time of increasing uncertainty about grid reliability and energy issues in general, Beacon Power systems can offer dependable, better-performing, and environmentally sustainable alternatives to conventional regulation services.

Monday, August 22, 2005


X Investing





Beacon Power Corp
Is going Crazy!


BCON

Ok, this is highly subjective....
I have one eyebrow up when a company in alternative energy starts moving rapidly.
When this stock was below $2 I felt that BCON was a speculative trade....... any movement was subject to the whims of underwriters and/or traders. But there could be guesses about the market size for Beacon Power's technology that suggests future growth.

The company makes energy storage devices using flywheel technology......sort of like winding up a spring of magnets and releasing it in a controlled and efficient way. Flywheels are an alternative to batteries, which contain metals potentially harmful to the environment.

I still don't know, but buying this stock in March at $1 +/- would have been a good call considering today's (8-22-05) trading price over $4 a share......but did the energy bill have anything to do with the increase?
News on the Energy Bill is highly subjective. Everyone has and idea of the bill's impact. Some views are different than others Like Environmental Groups

FROM finance.yahoo.com 8/22/2005
Beacon Power Profile
24 employees.

(in thousands)
0-Jun-05 31-Mar-05 31-Dec-04 30-Sep-04
Total Revenue 318 636 60 81
Cost of Revenue 334 671 949 80
Gross Profit (16) (34) (34) (899)


What do I see on the Balance Sheet? Snoreville...but I am curious why BCON is moving up so suddenly.
For the year ending in Dec. 2004
R&D budget = $3,532,000

Operating loss was $9,049,000 and "Total other Income/expenses net" was $3,719,000. 2003 "Total other income/expenses net" was $526,000 and $72,000 in 2002.

This "Total other income" affects their Net Income. Net income is now -$5,330,000 (2004) which is propetionally a large improvement from -$20,839,000 in 2002. In 2002 there were non recurring charges of $6,456,000 and a larger R&D budget.

Interesting note: The company shows no long term debt on it's balance sheet. Also Total Stockholder Equity has decreased from $17.7 million in 2002 to $3.7 the period ending June 30th.

Losses are common with development stage alternative energy companies. They must continue with large R&D budgets.They also must spend money on selling expenses to convince consumers of their product's value compared to traditional energy sources in their market like American Power Conversion Devices (APCC).

Socially Responsible Investing


Funds


SRI funds, or socially resposible investing funds use screeners to determine which stocks meet a conciouss investors' needs.

SocialFunds.com has an overview and general list.

I also have a few links on the sidebar that help explain why the funds are good for some people and how they work.
Check out GreenMoney Journal for some basics and more links.

I don't want to rehash their screeners, but they find stocks that have a certain level of environmental reporting, or avoid companies that have questionable ethics. Most of these funds have averaged around 7% on before tax returns with some years reaching way into the double digits. For instance the Pax Balanced fund, according to their april 2005 prospectus, had negative numbers for 2001 (-9.09%) and 2002 (-8.86%)......while 2003 saw a 17.27% return and 2004 had 13.39%. In their prospectus, as with any, they note past performance is not a very good predictor of future performance. This has a lot to do with the economy and mindset of consumers, as well as the manager which can have a a good/bad year.

Here is what the Sierra Club has and you can see how the holdings are to your taste:

Sierra Club Fund Facts
Hershey Foods
3.77%
Equifax
2.95%
NVR
2.18%
Alltel
2.11%
Jefferson-Pilot
2.00%
Hewlett-Packard
1.99%
Franklin Resources
1.98%
Oracle
1.97%
Astoria Financial
1.95%
MGM Mirage
1.94%
McGraw Hill
1.86%
Bank of America
1.85%
CIGNA
1.82%
SAFECO
1.76%
Humana
1.76%
UnitedHealth Group
1.75%
Comcast
1.73%
KeyCorp
1.71%
Starbucks
1.70%
McCormick & Co.
1.59%
Kroger
1.56%
Amgen
1.55%
MGIC Investment
1.54%
Fastenal
1.51%
Microsoft
1.47%

Friday, August 19, 2005

FOOD



...is there a broad market for using organic foods?

I recently saw a movie called The Corporation, a documentary that had a blurb about Monsanto's impact on milk products> It basically reported how their milk production injections affected bacteria and antibiotic levels in the milk and they had to cover up the story. Their genetically modified food products may help feed the world, but some things are not necessary.

I have three local grocery store chains: Lowes's Foods, Harris Teeter, Kroger, and Walmart. Forget about Walmart. Kroger relegates their organic and natural foods section to the vitamins area beside baby food and bread, but Harris Teeter and Lowe's Foods integrate their natural and organic brands into the regular isles. The organic cereals are beside the Kelloggs brands. I know shelf space is important to big distributors, so this is a big move. Harris Teeter and Lowe's organic brands are from mosstly private firms like Cascadian Farms.

Check your local co-op and invest in them.....they'll pay you as co-owner!
Example ...Wilmington NC's Tidal Creek

A basic listing of some public companies that distribute oranic products can be found at the The Organic Pages.

The largest chain natural food stores are Whole Foods Market and Wild Oats Markets. There stocks have been doing well, but there are some big differences between the two as far as financial statistics.

WholeFoods, wfmi, has positive earnings and 30% growth. Their market cap is over 8.5 billion on sales revenue last year of 4.5 billion. AND they have positive free cash flow ( a sign of a well run and profitable company). ANother interesting positive is that their revenue per share of 70 million is above their book value per share of 20 million. Their stock is up nearly 70% from last year to $130. Recent news is about them opening up a store in London.

Wild Oats Markets, oats , stock has been hovering around $12, up from around $8 in May. Key statistics for Wild Oats reveals debt and losses, although revenues were over 1 billion last year. They have planty of cash, but a negative cash flow. Their market cap is around $357 million, much smaller the Whole Foods.

Two other interesting stocks in the organics food mix:
United Natural Foods, unfi, supplies food to these two growing stores and trades around $30.

Raw food supplier Sunopta,stkl , stock has been hovering aroun $6 this summer. Their business is to supply soy products to large manufacturers.

More on Food later, I'm hungry....

X Investing



Alternative Fuel Stocks like Fuel Cell Energy can be cyclical. It seems the summer is a down spot and November shows higher activity.

Tuesday, August 16, 2005


Investing in
X


...By the WAY
Did you hear Danny Way jumped the great wall of China? That's him in the photo....wow

Are there some waves?

Ok...Some public companies involved in X Sports ...

(I am not a financial advisor and accurate stock information should be found on company websites or other sites)

Ski Resort?
Intrawest Corporation This resort operates Snowshoe in West Virginia, Copper Mountain in Colorado, and Whistler in Canada... to name a few. They also operate resorts around the world. Yahoo finance has their current ratios, but as of 8/16/05 they are a 2 billion+ market cap company with a .976 beta. Point is: the low beta and high market cap could suggest this stock would balance a high risk stock in a portfolio. They pay a $.16 dividend, growth is around 22%, and positive free cash flow. Ticker: idr


Transworld represents the leading magazines for x game culture. They have a business site! The business around cruising waves of cement, snow, water, dirt, and ...

Oakleymakes high quality sunglasses and have had a steady stock price for some time. Ticker: oo


Reef sandals are on my feet right now...I love 'em and they are owned by a huge public company near my area in North Carolina ...
VF CorporationTicker: vfc
VF owns Lee, Wrangler, Lily of France, Nautica, JanSport and The North Face, and posted sales of $5.2 billion last year.

Volcom clothing went public: Ticker: vlcm


Billabong Corporate

ticker: bbg in austrailia

K2 action sports makes boards I ride and shoes I wear. The stock is around $12 8/16/05


stock link:
michaelbluejay.com

Intro:


Who won't need energy or water or food in the future?

Some companies make food, but are ethically questionable (ADM). Some make technology that doesn't sell (CPST). Some really have nothing to do with the earth's ecology but are cool because they make life nice for me (VLCM).

Although energy prices are high, nuclear power is still basically inexpensive... and coal so congressionally supported that wind and solar power companies (ESLR) have a difficult time..... Energy for cars? Hydrogen? I'm all for it, but as for investing.......I'm little wiser now.....Willie Nelson was just in the Wall Street Journal selling his new name brand BioWillie biodesiel....+ positive.

The thought of energy coming from somewhere besides oil sounds good to me. fuel cells?.